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@firesidealpha
سم آلتمن، همهکارهی OpenAI، اومده رسماً اعتراف کرده که توی تخمین زدن سرعت پیشرفت و تسخیر دنیا توسط هوش مصنوعی اشتباه کرده بود
سم آلتمن، همهکارهی OpenAI، اومده رسماً اعتراف کرده که توی تخمین زدن سرعت پیشرفت و تسخیر دنیا توسط هوش مصنوعی اشتباه کرده بود. طرف میگه سال ۲۰۲۳ وقتی GPT-4 رو دادن بیرون، فکر میکردن خیلی سریع کل بازار نرمافزار زیرورو میشه، ولی اقتصاد دنیا لختی و اینرسی شدیدی داره. به گفته آلتمن، مردم به این راحتیا عادتهاشون رو عوض نمیکنن و هنوز سراغ همون ابزارهای قدیمی میرن، واسه همین جامعه خیلی آرومتر از تصورات با این موج هماهنگ میشه. خودش هم گفته که این قضیه اتفاقاً جای شکر داره، چون باعث میشه این گذار بزرگ، خیلی نرمتر و بدون شوک ناگهانی جلو بره.
منبع
Fireside Alpha@firesidealpha
Sam Altman admits he was wrong on AI's timeline and says society and the economy will adapt more slowly
"I thought when we got to GPT-4, which was back in 2023, that very quickly after that there was going to be much more disruption, software businesses up for grabs right away, than it turned out to be."
"I think I was wrong about a few things, but one in terms of the speed: the economy just has so much inertia."
"People keep doing the same things, buying from the same company, wanting to use their tools the same way. I think this is actually a positive in many ways, and it's going to make this big transition go smoother and slower. I'm grateful for it."
"But it means we've all been too ambitious on timelines. Even with this incredible technology, society and the economy will adapt more slowly."
Fireside Alpha @firesidealpha
Sam Altman reveals building Codex was a "crazy kamikaze mission" to beat Claude Code and that most of the best coders he knows now use Codex.
"We were way behind Claude Code, and it seemed like a kind of crazy kamikaze mission to try to beat them with a coding app."
"The consensus is that this kind of thing never works, and you just move on to the next one. It's a fool's errand to try to win when someone else already has momentum in a particular product category."
"But we decided we thought it was really important. We asked a team to do it, and they performed a legitimate, unbelievable, very rare in the history of business thing."
"Now it is the product that most of the best coders I know use."
"That felt like an impossible thing, but if we hadn't asked the team, hey, we have a really important but extremely hard mission for you, it just wouldn't have happened."
۱ شهریور ۱۴۰۵مشاهده در X


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